• The GOP Beat Goes On

    Rick Santorum’s recent sweep of Missouri, Minnesota and Colorado left many pundits scratching their heads. Once again, the polls and momentum were pointing to Romney after his wins in Florida and Nevada, and many were speculating that once again the path to the nomination was clear. With Santorum’s surprise surge, this sense of inevitability around Romney has been shattered while exposing the weaknesses many in the GOP base find with him. Santorum has even replaced Gingrich as the leading “non-Romney”.

    Santorum is riding a wave of momentum

    I have to yield to the “architect”, Karl Rove, who has, in my opinion, the best breakdown on the race so far. Rove believes that Gingrich and Paul will not drop out and will drag their baggage to the convention in Tampa. With some wind at his back, Santorum still has a huge hill to climb but is in the best position to mount a formidable challenge to Romney. Santorum is jumping ahead to Texas and will employ the same strategy that worked in Missouri, Colorado and Minnesota where he made 22 campaign stops. Compare this to the three stops Romney made.

    I believe that with Santorum getting an early start in Texas he will succeed in earning significant exposure towards winning the state’s rich delegate count. A lack of deep organization and funds compared to Romney’s war chest still represents Santorum’s major disadvantages. But Santorum is finding ways to succeed without.

    The GOP base and the public are still not sure about any GOP candidate. It’s still only February, and a brokered convention, the first in All in all, the public is not sure about any GOP candidate–and we are only in February. A brokered convention – something that hasn’t happened in modern times – remains unlikely but cannot be counted out.

    The sad reality now is that Obama has no one opposing him while he builds a monster organization. He has more than a billion dollars in his coffers and has a convention headquarters of more than 50,000 square feet. His campaign’s use of technology and social media will certainly eclipse their impressive efforts of 2008.

    While his poll numbers, the unemployment rate and the economy are still dismal, Obama overshadows them by thumbing his nose at Catholics over the abortion and contraception controversy. Obama is turning a deaf ear on his Democratic party, but his machine is getting in place while the GOP waffles. Don’t doubt for a second that Obama will resort to any tactics to be re-elected this year!

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